Manchester City are now in full control of the title race after beating leaders Arsenal 4-1 in a Premier League showdown on Wednesday.
The Gunners, who are chasing their first title since 2004, were eight points clear in early April but drew three games in a row before their Etihad Stadium humbling.
They are still top by two points, but City have two games in hand – making them overwhelming favourites now.
City also have a superior goal difference – 53 to Arsenal’s 40 – and have won 11 of their past 12 games in all competitions, scoring 42 goals and conceding only six.
While Arsenal only have the league to focus on, City are still in the hunt for the FA Cup and Champions League, and could have a packed schedule until the end of the season with as many as 11 games.
Data analysts Nielsen’s Gracenote say City have a 92% chance of the Premier League title now. It was 79% before Wednesday’s games.
Gracenote also gives Manchester City a 33% chance of winning the League, FA Cup and Champions League Treble.
Gracenote has worked out the percentage chance Arsenal and City have of winning their remaining matches.
| Remaining fixtures | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | % win chance | Man City | % win chance |
| Fulham (a) 30 April | 75% | ||
| Chelsea (h) 2 May | 53% | ||
| West Ham (h) 3 May | 80% | ||
| Newcastle (a) 7 May | 41% | Leeds (h) 7 May | 87% |
| Real Madrid – CL semi-final (a) 9 May | |||
| Brighton (h) 14 May | 59% | Everton (a) 14 May | 76% |
| Real Madrid – CL semi-final (h) 17 May | |||
| Nottingham Forest (a) 20 May | 66% | Chelsea (h) 20 May | 71% |
| Brighton (a) 24 May | 62% | ||
| Wolves (h) 28 May | 69% | Brentford (a) 28 May | 71% |
| Man Utd – FA Cup final 3 June | |||
| Potential CL final 10 June | |||
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